When we value a business, we try to estimate how much future cash it can generate. One thing to keep in mind is: most businesses donât just operate for 5 or 10 yearsâthey aim to grow and make money indefinitely.
Thatâs where Terminal Value comes in.
đ Terminal Value is a way to estimate the value of all those future years beyond your forecast. It answers the question:
âWhat is this business worth after the next few years we can reasonably forecast?â
Think of it like this:
If you’re buying a fruit tree, you donât just care about the fruit it gives you in the first 5 yearsâyou care about all the fruit it will bear over its lifetime. Terminal Value estimates the value of all that future fruit.
Itâs a big deal because it often makes up 50% or more of a companyâs valuation in a DCF modelâespecially for startups or high-growth businesses.
There are a couple of ways to calculate it, but the idea is simple:
đ Businesses donât just stop one dayâwe just need a logical way to estimate the value beyond our 5 year projection.









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