Tag: DCF
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Debt Restructuring 🚨 Warning sign… or survival strategy?
Sometimes, the hardest part of reviewing a company is seeing how much financial pressure it has gone through. We recently evaluated a company with a history of losses and a significant amount of bank debt. Under normal circumstances, the repayment burden would have severely strained its cash flow. But instead of defaulting, the company negotiated…
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Why using P/E alone might be misleading
A recent client tried to estimate their company’s value by applying the P/E ratio of similar listed companies.While PE is one of the most popular methods being used , it’s not a recommended one for this company. Here is why. Two companies can be in the same industry…and still be completely different businesses. Different: And…
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“Our land is worth much more than book value.”
During an M&A pitch, management often tells us this. Totally fair point.But here’s the thing 👇 For business valuation, book value is usually not the issue. When we value a going concern, we mainly use DCF.That means the value comes from future cash flows, not how cheap or expensive the land looks on the balance…
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Why inventory on the balance sheet affects a company’s value
Inventory is not just a number sitting on the balance sheet.It directly affects future cash flow. When we analyze inventory, we look at days in inventory — because this tells us how long cash is tied up before turning into sales. We also look back at historical inventory levels.If some years are unusually high or…
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How to value a project-based company
Some companies don’t sell products every day.They earn money project by project. Think of real estate developers, EPC contractors, infrastructure projects, etc. So valuing them is very different from valuing a normal operating business. When we value a project-based company, we usually focus on 3 key things: 1️⃣ BacklogsBacklogs represent projects already secured but not…
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Cash projections that don’t look comfortable.
When we validate a company’s value using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method,we usually forecast cash flows for the next 5 years. Sometimes, the projected cash balance looks… tight. This often happens because of things like: At first glance, it may look like the business “cannot survive”. This is where judgment matters. If: Then reviewing…
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“Why DCF looks clean on paper but is messy in real life”
Today I’m stuck in a DCF (Discounted Cash flow) model. Not because the formula is hard. But because I’m scrolling through hundreds of asset rows, checking purchase dates one by one, just to understand:– what was real CAPEX– what was replacement– and what should (or shouldn’t) be repeated in the forecast In theory, CAPEX is…
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“Does your business valuation reflect the actual performance after the M&A deal?”
A customer asked me this today. Short answer: No — we don’t usually go and check. The thing is a valuation isn’t a crystal ball.It doesn’t tell you exactly how the business will perform. What it does give you is a logic-based price range built from assumptions, scenarios, and the information available at that point…
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Why do we always ask for your company’s asset details when we do a business valuation?
Because revenue and profit don’t tell the whole story. When we value a business using DCF (Discounted Cashflow), we need to understand what the company has invested in before, how the assets are depreciating, and what future investments are coming. Are there machines that need to be replaced soon?Is there an investment cycle?Is the factory…
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Can we do a business valuation before year-end? Or do we have to wait for the audited financial statements?
As the year comes to a close, we often get this question from clients who want to start a valuation but aren’t sure if they should wait until the new financials are ready. The short answer is no — you don’t have to wait. What we usually need are: If it’s a listed company, we’ll…
